For 2025-26, the report incorporates Statistics Canada’s (STC) March 31, 2026, stocks data, showing total stocks of principal field crops up 15.4% year-over-year and 19.3% above the 2021-25 average. Supplies of principal field crops grew 7% in 2025-26 following a record harvest. Canadian products continue to move swiftly through the licensed elevator system with total producer deliveries to date up 6% compared to the previous year, according to the Canadian Grain Commission (CGC). Meanwhile, shipments to international destinations trail last year’s volumes and total Canadian exports are forecast to drop 1% in 2025-26 compared to the previous year. Closing stocks are forecast to grow 50% from 2024-25 on strong production and lower exports year-over-year. Prices for most crops are seen lower in 2025-26 as ample supplies and subdued trade weigh on prices, except for corn, canola, soybeans, and mustard seed, which are posting mild to moderate gains.

For 2026-27, the Outlook incorporates Statistics Canada's March 5, 2026, crop area estimates showing that farmers intend to seed less field crops in 2026 compared to last season, resulting in a 10% drop in production. As of the first week of June, seeding across Canada is advancing well, with some areas reaching completion as producers begin to focus on crop maintenance. According to the Canadian Drought Monitor, precipitation was highly variable across the country over the month of May. Much of British Columbia, western Alberta, and the southern Prairies remained drier than normal, while eastern Alberta and parts of Manitoba were wetter. Overall, as of May 31, 2026, 25% of the country, including 21% of agricultural land, was rated Abnormally Dry or in Drought, except for Atlantic Canada, which received well above normal precipitation.

The next AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops is scheduled for release on July 20, 2026.

Please refer to the full report for all details.
(thousand metric tons)

Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri Food Canada (AAFC)

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