For the 2024-25 crop year, the report provides the final estimates for all crops, with the exception of corn and soybeans, where estimates remain preliminary, incorporating information from Statistics Canada’s (STC) September 9, 2025, report on Stocks of Principal Field Crops as of July 31, 2025. Stocks of principal field crops were 18% below 2023 levels and 13% less than the previous five-year average. For most field crops, the decline in stocks was the result of an increase in exports, which more than offset the rise in production following the return to normal moisture levels across the major growing regions of the country. A significant drawdown in canola stocks accounted for most of the overall decline, as stronger canola exports combined with increased domestic crushing and slightly lower output in 2024. Total domestic use fell slightly, with the decline moderated by a rise in canola crushing. 

For 2025-26, the outlook incorporates crop production estimates from STC’s September 17, 2025, Model-Based Principal Field Crop Estimates release, which were based on information as of the end of August 31, 2025, using remote sensing data from STC’s Crop Condition Assessment Program (CCAP), which utilized agroclimatic data, as well as survey data and other sources. Production of all principal field crops estimated to be a near record, up 3% year-over-year (y/y) and 8% higher than the previous five-year average. Production of total grains and oilseeds is expected to increase by 2% while pulse and special crops production is estimated to increase by 16%. Across western Canada, overall production is estimated to have increased by 4% y/y and is expected to be 10% above the previous five-year average. For most principal field crops, better yields compared to 2024 drove these production expectations, combined with stable-to-higher areas for some crops. Harvest is ahead of schedule for much of the Canadian Prairies, while the soybean harvest is just getting started in Eastern Canada. 

The next AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops is scheduled to be released on October 17, 2025.

Please refer to the full report for all details.
(thousand metric tons)

Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri Food Canada (AAFC)

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