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    GN-2025-205 Canada: Outlook For Principal Field Crops - October 22, 2025
    22 Oct 2025

    For the 2024-25 crop year, the report provides the final estimates for all crops, incorporating information from Statistics Canada’s (STC) October 8, 2025, release of the supply and disposition for soybeans and corn in Canada. Total production for all principal field crops increased by 4% year-over-year (y/y), leading total supply to increase by 3% as carry-in stocks (beginning-year inventories) were up notably y/y by 7%, helping offset the 34% decrease in imports. Carry-out stocks (ending-year inventories) for all principal field crops declined by 19% y/y, primarily due to a 15% rise in exports largely offsetting a 3% drop in total domestic use. 

    For the 2025–26 crop year, the outlook incorporates production estimates from Statistics Canada’s September 17, 2025, release of the Model-Based Principal Field Crop Estimates, based on data as of August 31, 2025. Total production of principal field crops is projected to reach near record levels, up 3% y/y and 8% above the previous fiveyear average. In Western Canada, overall production is estimated to have increased by 4% y/y and is expected to exceed the five-year average by 10%. Harvest is nearing completion across the Canadian Prairies, while soybean harvesting is well underway, and corn harvest operations are just beginning in Eastern Canada. 

    The next AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops is scheduled to be released on November 19, 2025

    Please refer to the full report for all details.
    (thousand metric tons)

    2025-2026f

    Production

    Exports

         

    Durum

    6,535

    5,100

    Wheat

    30,089

    22,300

    All Wheat

    36,624

    27,400

    Barley

    8,228

    2,840

    Corn

    15,500

    2,400

    Oats

    3,370

    2,420

    Rye

    542

    182

    Mixed Grains

    138

    0

    Total Coarse Grains

    27,779

    7,842

    Canola

    20,028

    7,000

    Flaxseed

    365

    225

    Soyabeans

    7,134

    5,350

    Total Oilseeds

    27,527

    12,575

    Total Grains & Oilseeds

    91,930

    47,817

    Dry Peas

    3,563

    2,200

    Lentils

    2,972

    2,100

    Dry Beans

    352

    380

    Chickpeas

    331

    200

    Mustard Seed

    141

    95

    Canary Seed

    185

    135

    Sunflower Seed

    61

    35

    Total Pulses & Spec. Crops

    7,606

    5,145

    Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri Food Canada (AAFC)

    Tags: Canada Grains and Pulses

    Disclaimer
    All Gafta Circulars and Notices are provided to Members purely for the purposes of information. We have not taken any steps to verify the accuracy of the information provided and, accordingly, Members must obtain their own independent professional advice as to its content and effect. We cannot accept any liability, howsoever arising, for any loss or damage which may be caused by any reliance on any information contained in a Gafta Circular or Notice.

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