Canada: Outlook For Principal Field Crops - December 23, 2025
For 2025-26, the outlook incorporates results from Statistics Canada’s November Field Crop Survey on crop production, released on December 4, 2025. The survey, conducted from October 3 to November 6, covered approximately 27,200 Canadian farms. Production of all principal field crops is estimated at 107.0 million tonnes (Mt), an increase of 10.4% from 2024 and 16.2% above the 2020–2024 average of 92.1 Mt. This marks the largest crop on record, surpassing the previous high of 100.1 Mt set in 2020 by 7%. Western Canada is projected to lead growth, with production rising 16% year-over-year to 85.3 Mt, which is 23% above the five-year average, as nearly all crops posted gains. In contrast, Eastern Canada’s output is expected to decline 6.5% from 2024, driven by lower corn and soybean production that outweighed gains in wheat.
The primary driver of higher production was improved yields, as the total harvested area remained largely unchanged. Year-over-year, production by commodity group showed notable gains: wheat rose 11%, with growth in both durum and non-durum varieties, oilseeds were up 7%, as canola and flaxseed gains offset a smaller soybean crop, coarse grains were higher by 7% with increases across all coarse grains except corn, and pulse and special crops (P&SC) increased by 32%, largely due to higher pea and lentil production. Exports of principal field crops are projected to decline 4% from last year yet remains 9% above the previous five-year average. Carry-out stocks (year-end inventories) are forecast to rise 68%, driven by higher production and reduced export volumes.
The next AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops is scheduled to be released on January 20, 2026.
Please refer to the full report for all details.
(thousand metric tons)
|
2025-2026f |
Production |
Exports |
|
|
||
|
Durum |
7,135 |
5,350 |
|
Wheat |
32,820 |
23,000 |
|
All Wheat |
39,955 | 28,350 |
|
Barley |
9,725 |
3,240 |
|
Corn |
14,867 |
2,200 |
|
Oats |
3,920 |
2,650 |
|
Rye |
683 |
202 |
|
Mixed Grains |
184 |
0 |
|
Total Coarse Grains |
29,378 | 8,292 |
|
Canola |
21,804 |
8,000 |
|
Flaxseed |
454 |
235 |
|
Soyabeans |
6,793 |
5,250 |
|
Total Oilseeds |
29,052 | 13,485 |
|
Total Grains & Oilseeds |
98,385 |
50,127 |
|
Dry Peas |
3,934 |
2,200 |
|
Lentils |
3,363 |
2,100 |
|
Dry Beans |
438 |
380 |
|
Chickpeas |
482 |
200 |
|
Mustard Seed |
140 |
95 |
|
Canary Seed |
235 |
135 |
|
Sunflower Seed |
69 |
35 |
|
Total Pulses & Spec. Crops |
8,661 |
5,145 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri Food Canada (AAFC)
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