The 2024-2025 crop year concluded on July 31, 2025, for the majority of field crops, with the exception of corn and soybeans. Total exports of all principal field crops recorded a strong year-over-year (y/y) increase of 15% and were up 13% relative to the five-year average. This growth was primarily driven by elevated shipments of wheat and oilseeds, supported by moderate gains for coarse grains, pulses, and special crops. As a result, carry-out stocks (ending-year inventories) of all principal field crops are projected to fall by 22% y/y, driven by a sharp decrease in carryout for total grains and oilseeds, offsetting a modest increase for pulse and special crops carry-out.
For 2025-2026, data from AAFC’s Canadian Crop Yield Forecast (CCYF) has informed the analysis of this month’s Outlook. The recent CCYF forecast incorporates remote sensing and climate data up to July 31, 2025. The production of all principal field crops is expected to increase modestly by 1% y/y and be higher than the five-year average by 7%. Total supply of all principal field crops is projected to decrease by 1% y/y though, as the decrease in carry-in stocks (beginning-year inventories) offsets the increase in production. Carry-out stocks of all principal field crops are projected to increase by 32%, driven higher largely by an 11% decrease in exports, particularly for grains and oilseeds. While overall crop conditions have improved, drought conditions continue to be present in many parts of Western Canada, as reported in the National Agroclimate Risk Report.
The next AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops is scheduled for release on September 26, 2025
Please refer to the full report for all details.
(thousand metric tons)
|
2025-2026f |
Production |
Exports |
|
Durum |
5,993 |
4,800 |
|
Wheat |
28,862 |
21,100 |
|
All Wheat |
34,855 |
25,900 |
|
Barley |
8,300 |
2,840 |
|
Corn |
15,250 |
2,300 |
|
Oats |
3,395 |
2,420 |
|
Rye |
565 |
175 |
|
Mixed Grains |
145 |
0 |
|
Total Coarse Grains |
27,655 |
7,735 |
|
Canola |
20,100 |
7,000 |
|
Flaxseed |
350 |
225 |
|
Soyabeans |
7,110 |
5,350 |
|
Total Oilseeds |
27,560 |
12,575 |
|
Total Grains & Oilseeds |
90,070 |
46,210 |
|
Dry Peas |
3,500 |
2,100 |
|
Lentils |
2,600 |
2,100 |
|
Dry Beans |
405 |
400 |
|
Chickpeas |
325 |
200 |
|
Mustard Seed |
115 |
95 |
|
Canary Seed |
200 |
135 |
|
Sunflower Seed |
65 |
40 |
|
Total Pulses & Spec. Crops |
7,210 |
5,070 |
Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri Food Canada (AAFC)
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