Canada: Outlook For Principal Field Crops - July 27, 2026

For 2025-26, the report incorporates Statistics Canada’s (STC) March 31, 2026, stocks data, showing total stocks of principal field crops up 15.4% year-over-year and 19.3% above the 2021-25 average. Supplies of principal field crops grew 7% in 2025-26 following a record harvest. Canadian products continue to move swiftly through the licensed elevator system with total producer deliveries to date up 6% compared to the previous year, according to the Canadian Grain Commission (CGC). Meanwhile, shipments to international destinations trail last year’s volumes and total Canadian exports are forecast to drop 1% in 2025-26 compared to the previous year. Closing stocks are forecast to grow 50% from 2024-25 on strong production and lower exports year-over-year. Prices for most crops are seen lower in 2025-26 as ample supplies and subdued trade weigh on prices, except for corn, canola, soybeans, and mustard seed, which are posting mild to moderate gains.

For 2026-27, the Outlook incorporates Statistics Canada (STC)’s latest Principal Field Crop Area Estimates, released on June 30, 2026, and based on a survey of approximately 25,000 farms conducted between mid-May and mid-June. Total seeded area to principal field crops is forecast to be essentially unchanged from previous year and the five-year average. Oilseed area increased 7.2% y/y, supported by higher seeded areas of canola, flaxseed, and soybeans. Coarse grain area rose 1.8%, driven by increases in barley and corn area as oats and rye areas declined. In contrast, total wheat area declined 5.9% from the previous year, reflecting lower seeded area for both wheat excluding durum and durum wheat. Pulse and special crop seeded area decreased 11.7% y/y, as all pulse and special crops except for mustard seed and sunflower seed experienced a decline in area.

The next AAFC Outlook for Principal Field Crops is scheduled for release on August 20, 2026.

Please refer to the full report for all details.
(thousand metric tons)

Source: Statistics Canada (STC) and Agriculture and Agri Food Canada (AAFC)

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